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Archive for August, 2006

Open thread for women

Sunday, August 27th, 2006

A female member of my site stated, in another thread:

I am tired of waiting or wondering if my comments on the main page will be displayed so if you post something to me there, do you mind if I answer it here? You probably will but so be it.

Of course I mind. You’re messing up discussion on this site with your response to something I write on mabtw because you’re not patient enough to wait.

And, frankly, I don’t blame you. Sucks that you’re being modd’d, but, frankly, what do you expect? Site name and rules are crystal clear.

So. Women visiting mabtw may post any single post in this thread and say whatever they wish, within the bounds of the law and my site rules. Regular members (such as Female, Luka, and probably even Teri) may post as they wish (also follow rules and law). I shall try and keep an eye on it, and respond accordingly.

Women who post weird random crap elsewhere shall be redirected to this thread as gently as feasible.

This is a thread particularly open to women; I will still knock you down if I think you’re wrong, but I shall try and afford even more latitude to whatever you wish to say. I may be rude to non-members here; no man, not even I, may be rude to female members here. Call me on it if I am.

I suspect this shall simply be a feedback mechanism for Female, a mabtw poster, but who knows.

I’ll probably post the first thought.

-wolfe

Taller people are smarter; shorter women more likely to marry.

Saturday, August 26th, 2006

Were I Dick Masterson, I’d have a slightly different take on this subject. As it is, I’ll simply note some oddities, and speculate.

A recent paper by Anne Case and Christina Paxson of Princeton University, Stature and Status: Height, Ability, and Labor Market Outcomes, is currently attracting some media attention.

Bluntly put, based upon a series of datasets from the UK and US (starting with a longitudinal survey of children born in 1958), the two researchers conclude that “Taller people are smarter”.

We’ve known for some time that taller people (at least men) tend to earn more; it’s hitherto been assumed that this is due both to early-childhood nutrition as well as people being biased towards those who are taller.

While early-childhood nutrition still bears a role, it now appears that higher earnings come down to a much simpler argument: Taller people are smarter. (no doubt in part because of better nutrition).

What throws a bizarre spin upon this is a study from 2002 (based, as far as I can tell, on partly the same dataset Case and Paxson used), which concludes that “Short women [are] more successful with men“. Short women are more likely to be in long-term relationships, and more likely to have children. Similarly, tall men are also more successful with women. No surprises in that last.

Yet if the thesis of taller people being smarter holds, it inevitably means that less intelligent women are more successful with men.

This seems bizarrely counter-intuitive as a survival strategy for the species.

And of course it’s likely to make feminists hopping mad.

Now, I can toss out several ideas.

1. A smaller woman requires less nourishment, leaving more food, for a given quantity of food hunted or gathered, for a larger, stronger male and their offspring.

2.Tall women probably hit puberty slightly later. When our ancestors had 20 year lifespans, this could have a huge negative impact on reproduction.

3. It may well be that genetically, the male’s intellectual contribution is far more important than the female’s. This is a decidedly weak hypothesis, however, with little, if any, genetic evidence to support it. Even if true, the mother tends to have a disproportionate (as compared to the father) influence upon early childhood development. It would, however, explain female bias towards smart men, and a surprising relative male indifference to female intellect.

4. One or both studies are wrong; or I am mistaken to conflate them and simplify them in the way that I have.

5. Even if the research is sound, the studies may simply not apply outside the US and UK.

All that said, it’s certainly food for thought.

Oh, and, just for Dick… if taller people are smarter, and men are taller than women…

-wolfe

Responsibility in the Curves

Thursday, August 24th, 2006

And now’s the time on wAM to post a gratuitous picture of a bikini model. Women can be annoyed, outraged, or even secretly envious, and men can stare and…

what was I saying? Oh yes. Gratuitous bikini-babes. In this case, it’s actually not gratuitous. Or at least not very. Gratuitous would have been making it full-size. Bear with me as we appear to rapidly shift topic (and not for the last time in this post).

When you drive, you’re taking control of an oft multi-ton vehicle. Thousands of pounds (even kilos) of steel, plastic, aluminum and composite.

You accept responsibility for what you do, whether it’s in the curves or the straights. Now another topic shift, which some may not even notice as they gaze upon the curves below.

Caprice
Caprice Bourret, in happier days. (Credit: apparently SnF)

The woman depicted above, Caprice Bourret, is a model who, most would agree, traded upon her looks very successfully for many years. She established herself in modeling, TV, acting, pop singing, and ‘fashion design’.

She appears to have gained a sense of entitlement from her successful trading, so much so that she chose to reduce her name to just “Caprice“.

Nice name. “Capricious” is indeed what it brings to mind. Befitting a woman of her… uh… well-rounded talents.

Any (says the blogger called ‘wolfe’) who choose to define themselves to the entire world simply by one name are ludicrously arrogant.

Enter Hubris, early one morning, late last year. Pulled over by the gloriously named PC Flashman, the lovely and talented Caprice was a trifle “tired and emotional“:

PC Flashman told the court that, at first, he did not recognise the superstar.

He said: ‘I could see a white female of scrawny build with bare shoulders in her late 30s wearing heavy make-up…’

He then asked her name and she simply replied: ‘Caprice.’

PC Flashman said: “I asked again: “Caprice who?”

Ouch. “scrawny build in her late 30s wearing heavy make-up“. What a come-down for a woman who’s lived off her body lo these many years.

She has admitted having drunk a bottle and a half of wine with lunch and a few glasses in the evening on the day before she was stopped by police.

OK. A bottle and a half of wine with lunch. How many of us do that? I mean… wow. “A few glasses in the evening”. She certainly had at least two bottles of wine in the afternoon and evening before she was stopped. Perhaps three.

Well at least she’s taking responsibility.

Oh. Wait.

But she says that, had it not been for the drugs she was taking for cystitis, the effects of the alcohol would have worn off by the time she was stopped.

2-3 bottles of wine, on a “scrawny” frame would have worn off? And drinking 2-3 bottles of wine over the course of an afternoon and evening isn’t a problem? While she was taking drugs that exacerbated the effects of the alcohol?
So much for responsibility.

I admit. This woman annoys me even more than Mel Gibson did. He too, got drunk, and tried to trade off his celebrity status and then spewed some truly vile things.

But at least he has achieved some things in his life other than look good in a bikini. He hasn’t tried to pose as a “one-name” wonder. Most importantly, he acknowledged what he’d done and apologized. Sincere? I don’t know. But it was, at the very least, the appearance of an acceptance of responsibility.

In the end, it’s this woman’s sense of entitlement, based on so little achievement, coupled with an utter unwillingness to accept responsibility that trouble me.

And yeah. There is some wider culpability too.

It isn’t major, but it’s there.

Global free markets, and the reality that men like to look at prettily scuplted female bodies glowing with youth allowed this woman to build up wealth and have her 2+ bottle of wine afternoons.

Men are to blame? No. She is.

But the message the picture above sends to women, and the message it would send to daughters — should I have any — is troubling.

A solution? None at hand, other than to emphasize the importance of personal responsibility, and not behaving like a privilege princess, regardless of your gender.

-wolfe

DVD-writing. You don’t always get what you want.

Tuesday, August 22nd, 2006

A boring post, but it’s what I felt like writing about. You at least get some links to commentary on Walmart (from a Harvard economist no less), and the evils of Sony.

Driving the female readership away… whatever the size of the female readership of this blog, I’m sure this post shall cause their eyes to glaze. And maybe male ones too. I’m sure Sony will enjoy it, and seeing as how he’s pretty knowledgeable on computing, he’d have probably solved my problem in a fraction the time.

So, I’ve got the unenviable task of backing up about 400 GB of data in my home office. I really should just buy a 500 GB drive, and do a copy overnight, but company policy forbids that. (There are actually good reasons; it’s pretty vital at times to have backups that are genuinely ‘frozen in amber’ and that can’t be readily modified).

So off I started, cursing the fact that I’d leant my lovely Plextor drive (the Rolls-Royces of optical drives, IMO) to someone else. Maxell media, NEC drive, here we go.

Oh. 90% failure rate. That’s really, really bad. CRC errors. Never saw that before on DVD’s I’d just burned.
Pull out the old forensic toolset, take a look at the media blocks on the DVD+R’s. Sure enough, after tracking the codes down, they’re semi-fakes. (They may be ‘legal’ fakes, entitled to carry the Maxell name, but they sure weren’t made in Hitachi-Maxell factories).

I got stuck with ‘fakes’. From Best-Buy in New York (and some in Ontario no doubt too). Thank you, Best Buy.

Out I journey in the hinterlands. Where does one acquire nominal archive-grade DVD+R’s at 930 at night? Ah, thank you Sam Walton. Yes, Wal-mart.

I don’t much like the place, though I do actually think there’s pretty sound evidence that they are a company with a rather positive impact for the poor.

Of course, the only choice, other than the now-infamous Maxell is Sony. Sony. How do I love thee? Let me count the ways.

Well, I need the job done. And maybe the spirit of Akio Morita lives on. Maybe. OK, I’m rationalizing, but it’s 9:55, and I’ve got backups to do.

80% failure rate. Better, but still very, very bad. Check the media blocks, and they are real. (or the best fakes ever).

And then it hits me. I’ve been using 8x DVD+R’s for years now. But I just finished off the last of my stock, and bought 16x ‘Maxell’s’ (and now Sony’s).

It’s not the DVD’s. Or at least mostly not. It’s probably the drive. I’ve only ever burned 16x DVD’s with the Plextor, never the NEC.

Sure enough, a quick firmware upgrade later and I’m up-up-and-away.

And I felt dumb. All this time it was the drive.

Then, I tried out the ‘fake’ Maxell’s. 15% failure rate. The Sony’s? 0%.

OK, my approach of suspecting the disks wasn’t so stupid after all. Wrong, but not totally wrong.
And probably serendipitous, since, in a hurry to get the backup done, I’d have just ignored a 15% failure rate and reburned.

So that’s my boring tech story of the week (and probably the month if not the year).

Got any boring tech stories of your own?

But finally, who’d have thought Walmart would be a better place to buy computer paraphernlia than Best Buy? Go figure. (Apologies to non-American readers who’ve never heard of Best Buy; it’s a large US electronics chain.) I think everyone has heard of Walmart, by now. Sadly.
-wolfe

When ‘invest’ Means ’steal’

Monday, August 21st, 2006

Camaro speeds into Oshawa

they say. Wonderful news. It’s so great that GM is reviving its “iconic muscle car”. Good news for jobs for those in Michigan (parts) and Ontario (assembly). Great news for anyone who likes driving an “iconic muscle car”.

gmsmile

The Chairman of GM is smiling. Wouldn’t you be, if you’d persuaded the Canadians to part with nearly half a billion and Americans for hundreds of millions more? That’s one expensive car, baby.

GM executives, senior government officials and union leaders made the announcement at the No. 2 plant, where about 2,700 jobs are expected to be saved by the return of GM’s iconic muscle car.

GM said it will invest about $740-million to turn the plant into a more flexible operation.

The move came after the Canadian Auto Workers union agreed to 2,500 early retirements to reduce costs at the plant and win the job of making the new car. The plant had been scheduled to close in 2008.

So, reading between the lines, they’ll be job cuts of nearly 50%, and no new people hired. Great news I guess if you are an older worker, unionized. OK.

GM discontinued production of the car four years ago, putting 1,000 workers at a Ste-Therese, Que., plant out of work

Hmmm. St-Therese. Where did I hear that before? Oh that’s right. They received C$250m in government subsidies back in the late 80’s and early 1990’s to keep the plant open. (Sorry, no link, it was pre-internet. But I’m looking at dead-tree notes on the matter).

Looks like that was money well spent.

I’m glad this is just GM money being “invested” in the Oshawa plant this time. I mean… how dumb would it be for governments to make the same mistake, and pour in more millions, just to keep some jobs afloat for a few years?

Oh. Wait.

Last year, the federal government joined with Ontario to invest $435-million in the company’s Ontario auto plants.

What?

“invest”?

OK, look, when a company spends money to improve its own plants, that’s an investment. When a government takes money from you and me by the threat of force (that’s what taxation is), and gives it to a company without expecting goods and services in return… well I don’t know what the heck that is, but it sure as heck ain’t “investment”.

Stealing might better characterize it.

Let’s be clear, though. GM isn’t stealing. They’re doing nothing wrong, other than making crappy cars and bad business decision. It’s the government that’s at fault here. I don’t like what GM is doing, but greed is a sad part of the human makeup.

Why in the name of all that’s holy (and unholy) would governments be stupid enough to keep throwing good stolen money after bad stolen money when they know what the outcome will be?

They are subsidizing failure.

The decision to build a car that harkens back to GM’s heyday comes as the company struggles in a market beset by foreign competitors.

The company lost $3.2-billion (U.S.) in the second quarter alone, due mainly to employee buyouts and other restructuring costs.

I’ll repeat it. They are subsidizing failure.

And that which you subsidize, you get more of.

Here’s a handy little chart (source: 2005 Harbour Report, via CBC):

Average profit per North American-made vehicle (US$):

Nissan: $1,603
Toyota: $1,488
Honda: $1,250
Ford: $620
DaimlerChrysler: $186
General Motors: ($2,311)

In case you’re new to accounting, those brackets are the way financial people like to denote a negative. The red ink kind of hints at that too.

So. The taxpayers of Canada and Ontario are subsidizing gigantic failure and losses at General Motors in order to temporarily shore up a few thousand jobs.

Let’s say all 12,000 jobs in Oshawa are being ’saved’ by that subsidy of $435m. Applying a little seat-of-the-pants math, and we see that we’re paying $36,250 per job.

Cool. So, if you’re a young person, struggling to find work and pay off your student loans, you can be secure in the knowledge that you’re paying your share of 36 large to subsidize someone your parents’ age in an already 50% downsized environment to lose more money.

Awesome. And I thought gambling was bad.

Pierre-Joseph Proudhon, an early French anarchist, once famously asserted “La propriété, c’est le vol!” [Property is theft].

No.

More accurately, Taxation is theft.

And nothing proves it better than this asinine scheme to destructively redistribute wealth from students, the working poor, hardworking enterpreneurs, to aging and dwindling unionized employees, fat-cat GM management, and whoever’s still crazy enough to be holding GM stock.

This is your money they’re taking from you.

I chose the example of Canada because this is what popped up on my RSS news-feed today, and got my blood boiling over morning oatmeal.

But every North American government does it, and the Europeans make the North Americans look like pikers, in every sense of the word. Google “Airbus subsidies” for a laugh sometime. (Hint: if you live in the EU, don’t. You might get annoyed at where your tax dollars are going, unless you love socialism. In fairness, the US federal government has often offended as well, by giving military arms of civilian firms extremely friendly ‘deals’. More subtle, but equally objectionable).

Aus, NZ, and Asia are only partly OK on this. (NZ did end most of its subsidies; not so sure about Aus. And Asia? Two words: Structural mess.)

What’s the solution? Well, long-term, corporate subsidies have to stop. Pernicious ear-marks have to stop. Granted, easier said than done.

Now before you consider me a leftist-anti-corporate bleeding-heart, I also think income taxation of corporations should stop. Tax corporations on flow-through sales; tax their profits only when they are distributed to shareholders. Tax distributions that leave the country more highly than those that don’t but not much more highly. And have payroll taxes as you deem suitable to operate public services.

Have as few taxes as possible; make them as simple as possible to administer.

But end these corporate subsidies.

Stop subsidizing failure.

It’s great to see the Chairman of GM smile. But I’d like to see him smiling because his company actually started making good cars that people wanted to buy, and because GM started making a profit off of those cars.

Spy Fiction: A genre in distress

Wednesday, August 16th, 2006

I’ve been busy, so no real posts for a long time. (one of these dead blogs? Probably).

That said, I’ll talk a bit about the post-cold-war spy genre.

The end of the cold war put a lot of people — Carre, Deighton, Clancy, semi-out-of-business. While 9/11 has, horribly, somewhat revitalized the genre, it’s certainly not what it was in its heyday.

Spy fiction, as a reflection of the cultural iconography, the zeitgeist,  the struggles at hand, remains important. (Hmmm, sounds a little pretentious. Oh well, I’ll live with it).

We’ll look very briefly at two authors: Henry Porter, and Mark Burnell. Both started publishing novels at what the pedantic would call the extreme tail end of the 20th century: circa the year 2000. For most, they are very early 21st century spy genre novelists.

Porter, born in England in 1953, is almost archetypically English. Naming Jeeves, Sherlock Holmes, and James Bond as three of his favorite literary heroes, he grew up in cold-war Germany.

His books include Remembrance Day, A Spy’s Life, Brandenberg Gate, and Empire State.

His writing is tight, competent, and tends to return to the heyday of the cold war: the 80’s, and sometimes the ’90’s.

Characters are generally well-defined, and there’s more than a soupcon of the techno-thriller about much of his writing. Enough to make any man (and some women) at least interested.

Mark Burnell is over ten years younger. More of a Generation-X type. With several books under his belt — Gemini, Chameleon, Zoo Station, and The Rhythm Section, it’s that last that remains his best known work.

The Rhythm Section tells the story of an orphaned woman, Stephanie: her family was destroyed by a terrorist. The book is an impressively stylistic tale of an extreme identity crisis. She disintegrates into a downward spiral of addiction, sex and disaster, and then is reborn. Yet it’s not a simple tale of revenge, and the multiple aspects of her character are intriguing indeed.

The plot, is, frankly, nothing special, but the settings and character of Stephanie are spectacularly well drawn.

While my description makes it seem as though it’s some kind of violent ‘chick-lit’, that’s not the case at all. This is a good book for men, and we can enjoy it. Women too, will likely find interesting things Stephanie’s character.

The window this provides into terrorist thought is not to be discounted, either.

Porter’s good. The Rhythm Section is better. I’d say it’s a must read, if you like the genre. Of course, if you’ve not heard of it, you’re 6-7 years behind the times!